← Matchups

Tennessee State

· 0-3 · power -19.1 · #371
Our numberUGA -48.9 no book has priced this game

Georgia

SEC · 2-0 · power +23.4 · #21
Final TNST 3 · UGA 63 ML W Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUGA to win logged ours 99%

Our number: UGA by 55.0 — UGA to win.

Projected score 3–52 TNST – UGA
2026-09-05 · 3:00 PM Sanford Stadium · Athens, GA Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book TNST spreadUGA spread OverUnder TNST winUGA win TNST TT overTNST TT under UGA TT overUGA TT under
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread TNST 96% bets · 53% money total Under 70% bets · 62% money
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Georgia Bulldogs 245 ranks
Tennessee State Tigers #265 rush offense Georgia Bulldogs #20 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Bulldogs 202 ranks
Tennessee State Tigers #255 pass offense Georgia Bulldogs #53 pass defense
Run game edge Georgia Bulldogs 49 ranks
Georgia Bulldogs #62 rush offense Tennessee State Tigers #111 run defense
Pass game even 15 ranks apart
Georgia Bulldogs #77 pass offense Tennessee State Tigers #92 pass defense
Tennessee State Tigers Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Georgia Bulldogs Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Kirby Smart · 117-21

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tennessee State Tigers
DB Brendan Hale 21 tkl · 2 PD #93 DB
DL Bryce Gray 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #244 DL
WR Jayden Guy 15 rec · 202 yds #212 WR
P Truette Tumey 15 punts · 43.7 yd avg #32 P
Georgia Bulldogs
RB Nate Frazier 127 rush yds · 4 TD · 1 rec #54 RB
QB Gunner Stockton 436 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #39 QB
P Drew Miller 5 punts · 49.8 yd avg #22 P
WR Talyn Taylor 5 rec · 59 yds · 2 TD #298 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tennessee State Tigers -19.1 -16.0 -3.0 #371
Georgia BulldogsSEC +23.4 +16.5 +6.9 #21

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tennessee State offense vs Georgia defense-22.9 pts
Georgia offense vs Tennessee State defense+19.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.