BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2026 · Preseason 50 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Preseason = each team's 2025 finish regressed toward the mean. It can't yet see roster turnover, the portal, or recruiting; it updates as 2026 games are played. Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), FBS and FCS on one scale. A model rating, not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +35.6 +22.4 +13.2
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +34.9 +15.1 +19.7
3 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +33.9 +18.5 +15.4
4 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +33.7 +18.9 +14.9
5 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +31.6 +16.2 +15.4
6 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +30.1 +18.4 +11.7
7 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +30.0 +14.2 +15.8
8 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +29.0 +16.2 +12.8
9 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +28.5 +10.4 +18.1
10 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +27.0 +12.8 +14.2
11 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +27.0 +13.8 +13.1
12 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +26.9 +22.0 +5.0
13 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.8 +13.9 +12.9
14 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +26.1 +16.9 +9.2
15 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +26.0 +17.2 +8.8
16 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +25.1 +13.9 +11.2
17 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.9 +15.7 +9.2
18 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +24.9 +16.2 +8.7
19 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +24.7 +6.9 +17.7
20 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +23.9 +6.0 +17.9
21 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +23.4 +16.5 +6.9
22 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +22.9 +7.1 +15.8
23 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +8.6 +13.7
24 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +22.1 +5.7 +16.4
25 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +22.0 +10.7 +11.3
26 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.9 +16.3 +5.6
27 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +21.9 +7.5 +14.4
28 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +21.8 +11.2 +10.6
29 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.6 +11.2 +10.3
30 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +21.2 +5.8 +15.4
31 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +21.1 +7.1 +14.1
32 North Texas FBS American Conference +20.8 +17.3 +3.6
33 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.6 +10.2 +10.4
34 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +20.4 +11.0 +9.4
35 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +20.3 +8.6 +11.7
36 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +20.2 +15.3 +4.9
37 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +20.0 +9.7 +10.3
38 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +19.9 +9.4 +10.5
39 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +19.7 +14.2 +5.5
40 South Florida FBS American Conference +19.1 +9.4 +9.7
41 UTSA FBS American Conference +19.0 +11.8 +7.2
42 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +18.9 +9.1 +9.8
43 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +18.3 +9.8 +8.5
44 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +18.0 +6.4 +11.7
45 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +17.5 +9.7 +7.9
46 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +17.3 +9.6 +7.7
47 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +17.0 +3.6 +13.3
48 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +16.8 +3.4 +13.4
49 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.4 +8.4 +8.0
50 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +16.3 +8.9 +7.5

SRS — season 2025 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +43.1 +33.8 -31.2
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +40.8 +24.3 -32.4
3 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +39.4 +30.4 -25.3
4 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +38.8 +29.8 -26.6
5 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +37.7 +25.3 -27.3
6 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +37.4 +20.9 -30.3
7 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +35.5 +28.5 -21.1
8 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +34.2 +20.2 -26.4
9 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +32.5 +27.9 -18.3
10 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +31.7 +27.8 -16.9
11 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +31.5 +23.4 -21.0
12 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +31.5 +23.9 -22.2
13 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +31.2 +25.8 -20.1
14 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +30.0 +20.2 -22.5
15 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +29.8 +16.1 -27.9
16 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +29.8 +17.9 -26.2
17 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +29.3 +22.4 -22.9
18 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +29.3 +21.5 -21.5
19 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +28.4 +19.3 -22.1
20 South Florida FBS American Conference +28.0 +23.5 -14.9
21 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.6 +17.6 -18.7
22 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +27.3 +17.5 -20.7
23 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +26.9 +19.1 -19.7
24 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +26.8 +19.8 -21.1
25 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +26.8 +18.1 -17.6
26 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +26.6 +26.9 -12.3
27 North Texas FBS American Conference +26.1 +29.0 -8.1
28 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.9 +16.4 -19.8
29 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.4 +18.3 -17.8
30 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +25.4 +16.8 -22.1
31 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +24.6 +18.3 -16.0
32 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.3 +15.2 -19.6
33 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.3 +20.7 -15.6
34 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +24.0 +14.6 -21.9
35 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +23.8 +12.7 -23.1
36 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +23.1 +18.4 -14.4
37 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.9 +18.0 -15.5
38 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.7 +15.1 -14.0
39 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.6 +20.3 -18.2
40 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +22.5 +16.0 -14.9
41 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +13.9 -18.8
42 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.2 +12.6 -17.4
43 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.2 +18.6 -14.9
44 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.2 +22.1 -9.3
45 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.0 +12.0 -19.4
46 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.6 +8.6 -19.4
47 East Carolina FBS American Conference +21.0 +14.8 -16.9
48 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +20.8 +12.4 -17.4
49 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +20.7 +13.3 -12.1
50 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.7 +11.8 -18.2

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1778
2 North Dakota State FCS 1764
3 Notre Dame FBS 1749
4 Montana State FCS 1749
5 Georgia FBS 1746
6 Ohio State FBS 1745
7 Texas Tech FBS 1723
8 Miami FBS 1719
9 Ole Miss FBS 1715
10 Alabama FBS 1708
11 James Madison FBS 1703
12 Texas FBS 1701
13 Oregon FBS 1698
14 Lehigh FCS 1696
15 SMU FBS 1695
16 Utah FBS 1693
17 Texas A&M FBS 1691
18 Tarleton State FCS 1685
19 BYU FBS 1681
20 Montana FCS 1681
21 South Dakota FCS 1677
22 USC FBS 1676
23 Vanderbilt FBS 1671
24 Penn State FBS 1671
25 Iowa FBS 1664

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 138 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.89 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
North Texas #115 #32 -83 (we're higher)
Minnesota #34 #91 +57 (we're lower)
Toledo #103 #55 -48 (we're higher)
Virginia Tech #25 #71 +46 (we're lower)
Rutgers #78 #119 +41 (we're lower)
Missouri State #132 #92 -40 (we're higher)
Kansas #41 #80 +39 (we're lower)
Syracuse #60 #99 +39 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Ohio State +30.0 40.0 10.1 #2
2 Georgia +28.7 39.9 11.9 #21
3 Notre Dame +26.8 40.6 14.0 #1
4 Texas +25.4 39.2 14.2 #7
5 Miami +24.7 36.9 12.5 #8
6 Indiana +24.1 37.8 14.2 #3
7 Texas A&M +23.9 38.8 14.6 #5
7 Oregon +23.9 38.9 15.2 #15
9 LSU +23.3 34.4 11.4 #10
10 Oklahoma +21.7 34.0 12.6 #20
11 Alabama +20.0 33.0 12.6 #4
12 Tennessee +19.9 40.3 20.8 #12
13 Penn State +19.8 35.3 16.2 #9
14 Texas Tech +18.9 34.9 16.2 #11
15 Florida +18.6 33.5 15.5 #36
16 Iowa +18.0 32.1 14.7 #19
17 USC +17.7 37.9 19.9 #14
18 BYU +16.8 33.9 17.4 #16
19 South Carolina +16.7 32.6 16.4 #43
20 Ole Miss +13.3 35.1 22.5 #18
21 Utah +13.0 33.7 20.7 #6
22 Missouri +12.9 31.2 17.9 #34
23 Kansas State +12.7 34.3 21.8 #17
24 Arizona +12.6 32.7 19.6 #22
25 Virginia Tech +12.4 32.6 20.0 #71