BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

UTEP

CUSA · 1-1 · power -2.1 · #199
Our numberOU -27.6 no book has priced this game

Oklahoma

SEC · 1-1 · power +23.9 · #20
Final UTEP 0 · OU 51 ML W Spread L Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineOU to win logged ours 94%

Our number: OU by 28.0 — OU to win.

UTEP team totalUTEP over 3.5 logged ours 11.9

Our number: UTEP 10.9, from our margin and total split into two scores.

OU team totalOU under 45.5 logged live now: OU under 46.5 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 39.5

Our number: OU 38.8, from our margin and total split into two scores.

Projected score 12–40 UTEP – OU
2026-09-04 · 8:00 PM Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Norman, OK Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book UTEP spreadOU spread OverUnder UTEP winOU win UTEP TT overUTEP TT under OU TT overOU TT under
DraftKings — — — — — —
FanDuel
BetMGM — — — — — —
ESPN Bet — —
Caesars — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread UTEP 90% bets · 81% money total Under 62% bets · 47% money · money Over
Series Oklahoma lead 5–0 · 5 meetings since 2000
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Oklahoma Sooners 168 ranks
UTEP Miners #177 rush offense Oklahoma Sooners #9 run defense
Pass game edge Oklahoma Sooners 240 ranks
UTEP Miners #250 pass offense Oklahoma Sooners #10 pass defense
Run game edge UTEP Miners 153 ranks
Oklahoma Sooners #212 rush offense UTEP Miners #59 run defense
Pass game even 38 ranks apart
Oklahoma Sooners #152 pass offense UTEP Miners #114 pass defense
UTEP Miners Balanced · 50% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg Oklahoma Sooners Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Scotty Walden · 6-22 · defense-minded Brent Venables · 32-20 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
UTEP Miners
TE Cash Cheeks 3 rec · 51 yds · 2 TD #55 TE
QB EJ Colson Jr. 291 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT #73 QB
RB Tavorus Jones 128 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec #205 RB
DL Derek Burns 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #516 DL
Oklahoma Sooners
TE Rocky Beers 8 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD #13 TE
DB Reggie Powers III 11 tkl · 1 PD #103 DB
QB John Mateer 414 pass yds · 4 TD · 1 INT #26 QB
DL Taylor Wein 11 tkl · 3.0 TFL #142 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
UTEP MinersCUSA -2.1 +0.4 -2.5 #199
Oklahoma SoonersSEC +23.9 +6.0 +17.9 #20

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
UTEP offense vs Oklahoma defense-17.5 pts
Oklahoma offense vs UTEP defense+8.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 573 mi
Altitude · context only830 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.