← Matchups

Furman

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -0.6 · #188
Our numberTENN -36.5 no book has priced this game

Tennessee

SEC · 2-0 · power +26.9 · #12
Final FUR 9 · TENN 56 ML W Spread L Total W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineTENN to win logged ours 98%

Our number: TENN by 36.7 — TENN to win.

Projected score 12–48 FUR – TENN
2026-09-05 · 3:30 PM Neyland Stadium · Knoxville, TN Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book FUR spreadTENN spread OverUnder FUR winTENN win FUR TT overFUR TT under TENN TT overTENN TT under
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread FUR 93% bets · 88% money total Under 77% bets · 75% money
Series Tennessee lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 1941
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tennessee Volunteers 123 ranks
Furman Paladins #214 rush offense Tennessee Volunteers #91 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Volunteers 70 ranks
Furman Paladins #165 pass offense Tennessee Volunteers #95 pass defense
Run game edge Tennessee Volunteers 141 ranks
Tennessee Volunteers #24 rush offense Furman Paladins #165 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Volunteers 125 ranks
Tennessee Volunteers #31 pass offense Furman Paladins #156 pass defense
Furman Paladins Balanced · 47% run Ball-control Tennessee Volunteers Balanced · 52% run Avg pace
Josh Heupel · 73-28 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Furman Paladins
DB Eli Lipscomb 12 tkl #127 DB
DB Caleb Easterling 8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT #144 DB
WR Daniel Haughton 12 rec · 116 yds · 1 TD #140 WR
DL Joshua Stoneking 10 tkl · 2.0 TFL #265 DL
Tennessee Volunteers
DL Xavier Gilliam 8 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL #36 DL
DB Dejuan Lane 4 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #35 DB
RB DeSean Bishop 244 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #16 RB
QB Faizon Brandon 374 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT #16 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Furman Paladins -0.6 -5.3 +4.7 #188
Tennessee VolunteersSEC +26.9 +22.0 +5.0 #12

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Furman offense vs Tennessee defense-10.3 pts
Tennessee offense vs Furman defense+17.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.