Our side
MoneylineALA to win
ours 83%
Projected score
17–34
SC – ALA
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD
Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Alabama lead
15–3
· 18 meetings since 1937
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
43 ranks apart
South Carolina Gamecocks #140 rush offense
Alabama Crimson Tide #97 run defense
Pass game
edge Alabama Crimson Tide
101 ranks
South Carolina Gamecocks #130 pass offense
Alabama Crimson Tide #29 pass defense
Run game
edge South Carolina Gamecocks
207 ranks
Alabama Crimson Tide #213 rush offense
South Carolina Gamecocks #6 run defense
Pass game
edge Alabama Crimson Tide
67 ranks
Alabama Crimson Tide #49 pass offense
South Carolina Gamecocks #116 pass defense
South Carolina Gamecocks
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Alabama Crimson Tide
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Shane Beamer · 33-30 · defense-minded
Kalen DeBoer · 57-17
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
South Carolina Gamecocks
RB
Matt Fuller
199 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
#93 RB
DL
Anthony Addison
3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#233 DL
WR
Donovan Murph
4 rec · 92 yds · 2 TD
#164 WR
DL
Tomiwa Durojaiye
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#288 DL
Alabama Crimson Tide
K
Conor Talty
5 FG · 10 XP · 25 pts
#2 K
LB
Yhonzae Pierre
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#30 LB
LB
Luke Metz
10 tkl
#35 LB
RB
Daniel Hill
151 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
#29 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
South Carolina offense vs Alabama defense-8.5 pts
Alabama offense vs South Carolina defense+7.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.