Our side
MoneylineARK to win
ours 66%
Projected score
24–29
TLSA – ARK
2026-09-26 · 8:00 PM
Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Arkansas lead
51–16–2
· 69 meetings since 1917
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Tulsa Golden Hurricane
79 ranks
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #157 rush offense
Arkansas Razorbacks #236 run defense
Pass game
edge Tulsa Golden Hurricane
45 ranks
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #192 pass offense
Arkansas Razorbacks #237 pass defense
Run game
even
35 ranks apart
Arkansas Razorbacks #13 rush offense
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #48 run defense
Pass game
edge Arkansas Razorbacks
57 ranks
Arkansas Razorbacks #74 pass offense
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #131 pass defense
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Balanced · 55% run
Up-tempo
Arkansas Razorbacks
Balanced · 52% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 65 rush ypg
Tre Lamb · 4-8
Sam Pittman · 32-34 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
DL
Thomas Davis
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#9 DL
DL
Kyran Duhon
9 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#95 DL
LB
Dax Collins
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#63 LB
LB
Chris Thompson Jr.
18 tkl
#106 LB
Arkansas Razorbacks
DB
Khmori House
8 tkl
#173 DB
WR
Chris Marshall
12 rec · 142 yds
#196 WR
DB
Christian Harrison
9 tkl · 1 INT
#325 DB
DB
Joker Johnson
10 tkl · 1 PD
#465 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Tulsa offense vs Arkansas defense-5.5 pts
Arkansas offense vs Tulsa defense+0.1 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.