← Matchups

Vanderbilt

SEC · 2-0 · power +21.8 · #28
Our numberAUB -3.6 no book has priced this game

Auburn

SEC · 2-0 · power +21.2 · #30
Our side
MoneylineAUB to win ours 53%
Projected score 23–27 VAN – AUB
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD Jordan-Hare Stadium · Auburn, AL SEC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Auburn lead 21–20–1 · 42 meetings since 1905
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 1 ranks apart
Vanderbilt Commodores #4 rush offense Auburn Tigers #5 run defense
Pass game edge Vanderbilt Commodores 121 ranks
Vanderbilt Commodores #6 pass offense Auburn Tigers #127 pass defense
Run game even 27 ranks apart
Auburn Tigers #23 rush offense Vanderbilt Commodores #50 run defense
Pass game even 1 ranks apart
Auburn Tigers #193 pass offense Vanderbilt Commodores #194 pass defense
Vanderbilt Commodores Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 69 rush ypg Auburn Tigers Balanced · 54% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg
Clark Lea · 26-36 · offense-minded Hugh Freeze · 64-44

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Vanderbilt Commodores
LB Nick Rinaldi 13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #7 LB
DB CJ Heard 14 tkl · 1 PD #21 DB
DL Miles Capers 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #23 DL
DL Issa Ouattara 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #139 DL
Auburn Tigers
LB Elijah Melendez 18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #4 LB
DB Andre Jordan Jr. 5 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT #14 DB
DL Cody Sigler 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #149 DL
DB Eric Winters 14 tkl #194 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Vanderbilt CommodoresSEC +21.8 +11.2 +10.6 #28
Auburn TigersSEC +21.2 +5.8 +15.4 #30

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Vanderbilt offense vs Auburn defense-4.2 pts
Auburn offense vs Vanderbilt defense-4.8 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.