← Matchups

Oklahoma

SEC · 1-1 · power +23.9 · #20
Our numberUGA -3.7 no book has priced this game

Georgia

SEC · 2-0 · power +23.4 · #21
Our side
MoneylineUGA to win ours 53%
Projected score 24–28 OU – UGA
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD Sanford Stadium · Athens, GA SEC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book OU spreadUGA spread OverUnder OU winUGA win OU TT overOU TT under UGA TT overUGA TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Georgia lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2017
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Georgia Bulldogs 192 ranks
Oklahoma Sooners #212 rush offense Georgia Bulldogs #20 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Bulldogs 99 ranks
Oklahoma Sooners #152 pass offense Georgia Bulldogs #53 pass defense
Run game edge Oklahoma Sooners 53 ranks
Georgia Bulldogs #62 rush offense Oklahoma Sooners #9 run defense
Pass game edge Oklahoma Sooners 67 ranks
Georgia Bulldogs #77 pass offense Oklahoma Sooners #10 pass defense
Oklahoma Sooners Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg Georgia Bulldogs Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Brent Venables · 32-20 · defense-minded Kirby Smart · 117-21

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Oklahoma Sooners
TE Rocky Beers 8 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD #13 TE
DB Reggie Powers III 11 tkl · 1 PD #103 DB
QB John Mateer 414 pass yds · 4 TD · 1 INT #26 QB
DL Taylor Wein 11 tkl · 3.0 TFL #142 DL
Georgia Bulldogs
RB Nate Frazier 127 rush yds · 4 TD · 1 rec #54 RB
QB Gunner Stockton 436 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #39 QB
P Drew Miller 5 punts · 49.8 yd avg #22 P
WR Talyn Taylor 5 rec · 59 yds · 2 TD #298 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Oklahoma SoonersSEC +23.9 +6.0 +17.9 #20
Georgia BulldogsSEC +23.4 +16.5 +6.9 #21

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Oklahoma offense vs Georgia defense-0.9 pts
Georgia offense vs Oklahoma defense-1.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 804 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.