← Matchups

Vanderbilt

SEC · 2-0 · power +21.8 · #28
Our numberUGA -10.4 no book has priced this game

Georgia

SEC · 2-0 · power +23.4 · #21
Our side
MoneylineUGA to win ours 58%
Projected score 23–33 VAN – UGA
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD Sanford Stadium · Athens, GA SEC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Georgia lead 60–17–2 · 79 meetings since 1903
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 16 ranks apart
Vanderbilt Commodores #4 rush offense Georgia Bulldogs #20 run defense
Pass game edge Vanderbilt Commodores 47 ranks
Vanderbilt Commodores #6 pass offense Georgia Bulldogs #53 pass defense
Run game even 12 ranks apart
Georgia Bulldogs #62 rush offense Vanderbilt Commodores #50 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Bulldogs 117 ranks
Georgia Bulldogs #77 pass offense Vanderbilt Commodores #194 pass defense
Vanderbilt Commodores Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 69 rush ypg Georgia Bulldogs Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Clark Lea · 26-36 · offense-minded Kirby Smart · 117-21

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Vanderbilt Commodores
LB Nick Rinaldi 13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #7 LB
DB CJ Heard 14 tkl · 1 PD #21 DB
DL Miles Capers 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #23 DL
DL Issa Ouattara 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #139 DL
Georgia Bulldogs
RB Nate Frazier 127 rush yds · 4 TD · 1 rec #54 RB
QB Gunner Stockton 436 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #39 QB
P Drew Miller 5 punts · 49.8 yd avg #22 P
WR Talyn Taylor 5 rec · 59 yds · 2 TD #298 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Vanderbilt CommodoresSEC +21.8 +11.2 +10.6 #28
Georgia BulldogsSEC +23.4 +16.5 +6.9 #21

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Vanderbilt offense vs Georgia defense+4.3 pts
Georgia offense vs Vanderbilt defense+5.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.