← Matchups

McNeese

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -3.1 · #219
Our numberLSU -38.7 no book has priced this game

LSU

SEC · 2-0 · power +27.0 · #10
Our side
MoneylineLSU to win ours 99%
Projected score 7–46 MCN – LSU
2026-10-03 · 7:45 PM Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series LSU lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2010
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge LSU Tigers 53 ranks
McNeese Cowboys #82 rush offense LSU Tigers #29 run defense
Pass game edge LSU Tigers 116 ranks
McNeese Cowboys #206 pass offense LSU Tigers #90 pass defense
Run game edge LSU Tigers 71 ranks
LSU Tigers #170 rush offense McNeese Cowboys #241 run defense
Pass game edge McNeese Cowboys 100 ranks
LSU Tigers #177 pass offense McNeese Cowboys #77 pass defense
McNeese Cowboys Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg LSU Tigers Balanced · 45% run Ball-control
Frank Wilson · 21-32 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
McNeese Cowboys
DL RJ Staten 11 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL #53 DL
WR Elisha Edwards 16 rec · 240 yds · 3 TD #32 WR
RB Omiri Wiggins 217 rush yds · 2 TD · 9 rec #25 RB
WR Curtis Deville 12 rec · 213 yds · 3 TD #54 WR
LSU Tigers
DL Jordan Ross 7 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #3 DL
DL Princewill Umanmielen 11 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 6.0 TFL #4 DL
TE Trey'Dez Green 10 rec · 162 yds · 1 TD #5 TE
RB Dilin Jones 179 rush yds · 2 TD · 4 rec #45 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
McNeese Cowboys -3.1 -3.4 +0.3 #219
LSU TigersSEC +27.0 +12.8 +14.2 #10

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
McNeese offense vs LSU defense-17.7 pts
LSU offense vs McNeese defense+12.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.