Our side
MoneylineSC to win
ours 63%
Projected score
20–30
UK – SC
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Williams-Brice Stadium · Columbia, SC
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
South Carolina lead
22–14–1
· 37 meetings since 1937
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge South Carolina Gamecocks
184 ranks
Kentucky Wildcats #190 rush offense
South Carolina Gamecocks #6 run defense
Pass game
edge South Carolina Gamecocks
52 ranks
Kentucky Wildcats #168 pass offense
South Carolina Gamecocks #116 pass defense
Run game
even
26 ranks apart
South Carolina Gamecocks #140 rush offense
Kentucky Wildcats #114 run defense
Pass game
edge South Carolina Gamecocks
56 ranks
South Carolina Gamecocks #130 pass offense
Kentucky Wildcats #186 pass defense
Kentucky Wildcats
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
South Carolina Gamecocks
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Mark Stoops · 75-63
Shane Beamer · 33-30 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Kentucky Wildcats
DL
Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#5 DL
DB
Jordan Castell
16 tkl · 1 INT
#22 DB
DL
Tavion Gadson
5 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#33 DL
TE
Willie Rodriguez
12 rec · 97 yds · 1 TD
#16 TE
South Carolina Gamecocks
RB
Matt Fuller
199 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
#93 RB
DL
Anthony Addison
3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#233 DL
WR
Donovan Murph
4 rec · 92 yds · 2 TD
#164 WR
DL
Tomiwa Durojaiye
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#288 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Kentucky offense vs South Carolina defense-6.9 pts
South Carolina offense vs Kentucky defense-3.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.