Our side
MoneylineTENN to win
ours 68%
Projected score
21–32
AUB – TENN
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Neyland Stadium · Knoxville, TN
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Auburn lead
28–22–3
· 53 meetings since 1929
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Auburn Tigers
68 ranks
Auburn Tigers #23 rush offense
Tennessee Volunteers #91 run defense
Pass game
edge Tennessee Volunteers
98 ranks
Auburn Tigers #193 pass offense
Tennessee Volunteers #95 pass defense
Run game
even
19 ranks apart
Tennessee Volunteers #24 rush offense
Auburn Tigers #5 run defense
Pass game
edge Tennessee Volunteers
96 ranks
Tennessee Volunteers #31 pass offense
Auburn Tigers #127 pass defense
Auburn Tigers
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg
Tennessee Volunteers
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Hugh Freeze · 64-44
Josh Heupel · 73-28 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Auburn Tigers
LB
Elijah Melendez
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#4 LB
DB
Andre Jordan Jr.
5 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#14 DB
DL
Cody Sigler
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#149 DL
DB
Eric Winters
14 tkl
#194 DB
Tennessee Volunteers
DL
Xavier Gilliam
8 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL
#36 DL
DB
Dejuan Lane
4 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#35 DB
RB
DeSean Bishop
244 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#16 RB
QB
Faizon Brandon
374 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
#16 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Auburn offense vs Tennessee defense+0.9 pts
Tennessee offense vs Auburn defense+6.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.