BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Georgia

SEC · 2-0 · power +23.4 · #21
Our numberALA -5.1 no book has priced this game

Alabama

SEC · 2-0 (1-0 SEC) · power +33.7 · #4
Our side
MoneylineALA to win ours 77%
Projected score 25–30 UGA – ALA
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL SEC game Early season

The books 3 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book UGA spreadALA spread OverUnder UGA winALA win UGA TT overUGA TT under ALA TT overALA TT under
DraftKings — — — —
FanDuel — — — —
BetMGM — — — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Alabama lead 45–26–3 · 74 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 35 ranks apart
Georgia Bulldogs #62 rush offense Alabama Crimson Tide #97 run defense
Pass game edge Alabama Crimson Tide 48 ranks
Georgia Bulldogs #77 pass offense Alabama Crimson Tide #29 pass defense
Run game edge Georgia Bulldogs 193 ranks
Alabama Crimson Tide #213 rush offense Georgia Bulldogs #20 run defense
Pass game even 4 ranks apart
Alabama Crimson Tide #49 pass offense Georgia Bulldogs #53 pass defense
Georgia Bulldogs Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg Alabama Crimson Tide Balanced · 48% run Ball-control
Kirby Smart · 117-21 Kalen DeBoer · 57-17

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Georgia Bulldogs
RB Nate Frazier 127 rush yds · 4 TD · 1 rec #54 RB
QB Gunner Stockton 436 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #39 QB
P Drew Miller 5 punts · 49.8 yd avg #22 P
WR Talyn Taylor 5 rec · 59 yds · 2 TD #298 WR
Alabama Crimson Tide
K Conor Talty 5 FG · 10 XP · 25 pts #2 K
LB Yhonzae Pierre 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #30 LB
LB Luke Metz 10 tkl #35 LB
RB Daniel Hill 151 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec #29 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Georgia BulldogsSEC +23.4 +16.5 +6.9 #21
Alabama Crimson TideSEC +33.7 +18.9 +14.9 #4

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Georgia offense vs Alabama defense+1.6 pts
Alabama offense vs Georgia defense+12.0 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.