Our side
MoneylineFLA to win
ours 59%
Projected score
23–28
SC – FLA
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville, FL
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Florida lead
31–10–3
· 44 meetings since 1911
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Florida Gators
62 ranks
South Carolina Gamecocks #140 rush offense
Florida Gators #78 run defense
Pass game
even
38 ranks apart
South Carolina Gamecocks #130 pass offense
Florida Gators #168 pass defense
Run game
edge South Carolina Gamecocks
74 ranks
Florida Gators #80 rush offense
South Carolina Gamecocks #6 run defense
Pass game
edge South Carolina Gamecocks
68 ranks
Florida Gators #184 pass offense
South Carolina Gamecocks #116 pass defense
South Carolina Gamecocks
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Florida Gators
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Shane Beamer · 33-30 · defense-minded
Billy Napier · 62-35
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
South Carolina Gamecocks
RB
Matt Fuller
199 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
#93 RB
DL
Anthony Addison
3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#233 DL
WR
Donovan Murph
4 rec · 92 yds · 2 TD
#164 WR
DL
Tomiwa Durojaiye
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#288 DL
Florida Gators
DL
Jeramiah McCloud
12 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL
#27 DL
RB
Jadan Baugh
296 rush yds · 5 TD
#12 RB
WR
Vernell Brown III
9 rec · 160 yds · 2 TD
#112 WR
DL
LJ McCray
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#207 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
South Carolina offense vs Florida defense-4.0 pts
Florida offense vs South Carolina defense-2.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.