Our side
MoneylineLSU to win
ours 41%
Projected score
27–20
LSU – AUB
2026-10-24 · 12:00 PM
Jordan-Hare Stadium · Auburn, AL
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
LSU lead
33–23–1
· 57 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Auburn Tigers
165 ranks
LSU Tigers #170 rush offense
Auburn Tigers #5 run defense
Pass game
edge Auburn Tigers
50 ranks
LSU Tigers #177 pass offense
Auburn Tigers #127 pass defense
Run game
even
6 ranks apart
Auburn Tigers #23 rush offense
LSU Tigers #29 run defense
Pass game
edge LSU Tigers
103 ranks
Auburn Tigers #193 pass offense
LSU Tigers #90 pass defense
LSU Tigers
Balanced · 45% run
Ball-control
Auburn Tigers
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg
Frank Wilson · 21-32 · defense-minded
Hugh Freeze · 64-44
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
LSU Tigers
DL
Jordan Ross
7 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#3 DL
DL
Princewill Umanmielen
11 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 6.0 TFL
#4 DL
TE
Trey'Dez Green
10 rec · 162 yds · 1 TD
#5 TE
RB
Dilin Jones
179 rush yds · 2 TD · 4 rec
#45 RB
Auburn Tigers
LB
Elijah Melendez
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#4 LB
DB
Andre Jordan Jr.
5 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#14 DB
DL
Cody Sigler
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#149 DL
DB
Eric Winters
14 tkl
#194 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
LSU offense vs Auburn defense-2.6 pts
Auburn offense vs LSU defense-8.4 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.