Our side
MoneylineOU to win
ours 46%
Projected score
27–26
OU – MSST
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD
Davis Wade Stadium · Starkville, MS
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Mississippi State Bulldogs
49 ranks
Oklahoma Sooners #212 rush offense
Mississippi State Bulldogs #163 run defense
Pass game
even
20 ranks apart
Oklahoma Sooners #152 pass offense
Mississippi State Bulldogs #132 pass defense
Run game
edge Oklahoma Sooners
93 ranks
Mississippi State Bulldogs #102 rush offense
Oklahoma Sooners #9 run defense
Pass game
edge Oklahoma Sooners
139 ranks
Mississippi State Bulldogs #149 pass offense
Oklahoma Sooners #10 pass defense
Oklahoma Sooners
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Balanced · 57% run
Avg pace
Brent Venables · 32-20 · defense-minded
Jeff Lebby · 7-18
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Oklahoma Sooners
TE
Rocky Beers
8 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD
#13 TE
DB
Reggie Powers III
11 tkl · 1 PD
#103 DB
QB
John Mateer
414 pass yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
#26 QB
DL
Taylor Wein
11 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#142 DL
Mississippi State Bulldogs
QB
Kamario Taylor
581 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
#5 QB
WR
Anthony Evans III
14 rec · 239 yds · 2 TD
#20 WR
K
Kyle Ferrie
3 FG · 13 XP · 22 pts
#19 K
RB
Fluff Bothwell
165 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec
#66 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Oklahoma offense vs Mississippi State defense+1.1 pts
Mississippi State offense vs Oklahoma defense-2.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 508 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.