Our side
MoneylineALA to win
ours 99%
Projected score
3–52
UTC – ALA
2026-11-21 · 2:00 PM
Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Alabama lead
14–0
· 14 meetings since 1908
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
30 ranks apart
Chattanooga Mocs #127 rush offense
Alabama Crimson Tide #97 run defense
Pass game
edge Alabama Crimson Tide
194 ranks
Chattanooga Mocs #223 pass offense
Alabama Crimson Tide #29 pass defense
Run game
edge Chattanooga Mocs
67 ranks
Alabama Crimson Tide #213 rush offense
Chattanooga Mocs #146 run defense
Pass game
edge Alabama Crimson Tide
166 ranks
Alabama Crimson Tide #49 pass offense
Chattanooga Mocs #215 pass defense
Chattanooga Mocs
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg
Alabama Crimson Tide
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Kalen DeBoer · 57-17
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Chattanooga Mocs
DB
Keyshawn Jackson
18 tkl · 5 PD
#69 DB
RB
Kevin Lalin
290 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
#51 RB
LB
Zion Rutledge
24 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#115 LB
DB
Kam Baah-Slay
12 tkl · 2 PD
#230 DB
Alabama Crimson Tide
K
Conor Talty
5 FG · 10 XP · 25 pts
#2 K
LB
Yhonzae Pierre
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#30 LB
LB
Luke Metz
10 tkl
#35 LB
RB
Daniel Hill
151 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
#29 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Chattanooga offense vs Alabama defense-22.6 pts
Alabama offense vs Chattanooga defense+19.9 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.