Our side
MoneylineAUB to win
ours 99%
Projected score
1–47
SAM – AUB
2026-11-21 · 3:30 PM
Jordan-Hare Stadium · Auburn, AL
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Auburn lead
29–0–1
· 30 meetings since 1903
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Auburn Tigers
258 ranks
Samford Bulldogs #263 rush offense
Auburn Tigers #5 run defense
Pass game
edge Auburn Tigers
115 ranks
Samford Bulldogs #242 pass offense
Auburn Tigers #127 pass defense
Run game
edge Auburn Tigers
195 ranks
Auburn Tigers #23 rush offense
Samford Bulldogs #218 run defense
Pass game
even
1 ranks apart
Auburn Tigers #193 pass offense
Samford Bulldogs #192 pass defense
Samford Bulldogs
Pass-heavy · 39% run
Ball-control
Auburn Tigers
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg
Hugh Freeze · 64-44
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Samford Bulldogs
DB
LaShon Young
21 tkl · 1 PD
#53 DB
DB
Jalen Nelson
25 tkl
#101 DB
WR
Marquise Henderson
9 rec · 218 yds · 1 TD
#92 WR
LB
Spencer Conn
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#90 LB
Auburn Tigers
LB
Elijah Melendez
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#4 LB
DB
Andre Jordan Jr.
5 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#14 DB
DL
Cody Sigler
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#149 DL
DB
Eric Winters
14 tkl
#194 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Samford offense vs Auburn defense-27.0 pts
Auburn offense vs Samford defense+11.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.