← Matchups

Tennessee Tech

· 3-0 · power +6.4 · #109
Our numberMSST -25.1 no book has priced this game

Mississippi State

SEC · 2-0 · power +20.2 · #37
Our side
MoneylineMSST to win ours 94%
Projected score 18–43 TNTC – MSST
2026-11-21 · 1:00 PM Davis Wade Stadium · Starkville, MS Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 146 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #17 rush offense Mississippi State Bulldogs #163 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 61 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #71 pass offense Mississippi State Bulldogs #132 pass defense
Run game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 91 ranks
Mississippi State Bulldogs #102 rush offense Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #11 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 126 ranks
Mississippi State Bulldogs #149 pass offense Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #23 pass defense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles Balanced · 49% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 37 rush ypg Mississippi State Bulldogs Balanced · 57% run Avg pace
Jeff Lebby · 7-18

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
DL Hudson Tucker 10 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #46 DL
WR Gabe Nunez 11 rec · 193 yds · 2 TD #137 WR
WR Tre' Holloway 12 rec · 169 yds · 2 TD #138 WR
RB Qua Ashley 120 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec #119 RB
Mississippi State Bulldogs
QB Kamario Taylor 581 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT #5 QB
WR Anthony Evans III 14 rec · 239 yds · 2 TD #20 WR
K Kyle Ferrie 3 FG · 13 XP · 22 pts #19 K
RB Fluff Bothwell 165 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #66 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +6.4 +2.2 +4.2 #109
Mississippi State BulldogsSEC +20.2 +15.3 +4.9 #37

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tennessee Tech offense vs Mississippi State defense-2.7 pts
Mississippi State offense vs Tennessee Tech defense+11.1 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.