← Matchups

LSU

SEC · 2-0 · power +27.0 · #10
Our numberTENN -1.0 no book has priced this game

Tennessee

SEC · 2-0 · power +26.9 · #12
Our side
MoneylineTENN to win ours 54%
Projected score 28–28 LSU – TENN
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD Neyland Stadium · Knoxville, TN SEC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book LSU spreadTENN spread OverUnder LSU winTENN win LSU TT overLSU TT under TENN TT overTENN TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Tennessee lead 21–10–3 · 34 meetings since 1925
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tennessee Volunteers 79 ranks
LSU Tigers #170 rush offense Tennessee Volunteers #91 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Volunteers 82 ranks
LSU Tigers #177 pass offense Tennessee Volunteers #95 pass defense
Run game even 5 ranks apart
Tennessee Volunteers #24 rush offense LSU Tigers #29 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Volunteers 59 ranks
Tennessee Volunteers #31 pass offense LSU Tigers #90 pass defense
LSU Tigers Balanced · 45% run Ball-control Tennessee Volunteers Balanced · 52% run Avg pace
Frank Wilson · 21-32 · defense-minded Josh Heupel · 73-28 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
LSU Tigers
DL Jordan Ross 7 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #3 DL
DL Princewill Umanmielen 11 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 6.0 TFL #4 DL
TE Trey'Dez Green 10 rec · 162 yds · 1 TD #5 TE
RB Dilin Jones 179 rush yds · 2 TD · 4 rec #45 RB
Tennessee Volunteers
DL Xavier Gilliam 8 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL #36 DL
DB Dejuan Lane 4 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #35 DB
RB DeSean Bishop 244 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #16 RB
QB Faizon Brandon 374 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT #16 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
LSU TigersSEC +27.0 +12.8 +14.2 #10
Tennessee VolunteersSEC +26.9 +22.0 +5.0 #12

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
LSU offense vs Tennessee defense+7.8 pts
Tennessee offense vs LSU defense+7.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 568 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.