BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

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Texas

SEC · 2-0 · power +30.0 · #7
Our numberTA&M -3.5 no book has priced this game

Texas A&M

SEC · 2-0 · power +31.6 · #5
Our side
MoneylineTA&M to win ours 58%
Projected score 26–29 TEX – TA&M
2026-11-27 · 7:30 PM Kyle Field · College Station, TX SEC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book TEX spreadTA&M spread OverUnder TEX winTA&M win TEX TT overTEX TT under TA&M TT overTA&M TT under
DraftKings — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Texas lead 71–37–5 · 113 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Texas Longhorns 47 ranks
Texas Longhorns #130 rush offense Texas A&M Aggies #177 run defense
Pass game edge Texas A&M Aggies 90 ranks
Texas Longhorns #104 pass offense Texas A&M Aggies #14 pass defense
Run game even 34 ranks apart
Texas A&M Aggies #67 rush offense Texas Longhorns #33 run defense
Pass game even 26 ranks apart
Texas A&M Aggies #55 pass offense Texas Longhorns #81 pass defense
Texas Longhorns Balanced · 52% run Ball-control Texas A&M Aggies Balanced · 55% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg
Steve Sarkisian · 48-20 Mike Elko · 35-16

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Texas Longhorns
RB Hollywood Smothers 144 rush yds · 2 TD · 6 rec #17 RB
DB Graceson Littleton 9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #52 DB
WR Ryan Wingo 11 rec · 143 yds · 2 TD #64 WR
LB Justin Cryer 12 tkl · 1.0 TFL #88 LB
Texas A&M Aggies
DL Marco Jones 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #10 DL
DB Julio Humphrey 2 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #84 DB
WR Isaiah Horton 7 rec · 109 yds · 3 TD #82 WR
DL T.J. Searcy 8 tkl · 1.5 TFL #166 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Texas LonghornsSEC +30.0 +14.2 +15.8 #7
Texas A&M AggiesSEC +31.6 +16.2 +15.4 #5

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Texas offense vs Texas A&M defense-1.3 pts
Texas A&M offense vs Texas defense+0.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.