← Matchups

Long Island University

· 0-3 · power -14.8 · #343
Our numberKU -33.8 no book has priced this game

Kansas

B12 · 1-1 · power +9.5 · #89
Final LIU 6 · KU 51 ML W Spread L Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineKU to win logged ours 97%

Our number: KU by 24.8 — KU to win.

Projected score 11–45 LIU – KU
2026-09-04 · 8:00 PM David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book LIU spreadKU spread OverUnder LIU winKU win LIU TT overLIU TT under KU TT overKU TT under
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread LIU 86% bets · 24% money · money KU total Under 69% bets · 33% money · money Over
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Kansas Jayhawks 47 ranks
Long Island University Sharks #169 rush offense Kansas Jayhawks #122 run defense
Pass game even 8 ranks apart
Long Island University Sharks #241 pass offense Kansas Jayhawks #233 pass defense
Run game even 34 ranks apart
Kansas Jayhawks #38 rush offense Long Island University Sharks #72 run defense
Pass game edge Long Island University Sharks 61 ranks
Kansas Jayhawks #78 pass offense Long Island University Sharks #17 pass defense
Long Island University Sharks Run-heavy · 69% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 59 rush ypg Kansas Jayhawks Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Lance Leipold · 64-68 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Long Island University Sharks
LB Rafael Fasolino 25 tkl · 3.0 TFL #23 LB
DB Ryan Maxwell 21 tkl · 2 PD #57 DB
DL Rodney Mills 5 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #145 DL
DL Quay Wright 3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #343 DL
Kansas Jayhawks
DL Leroy Harris III 8 tkl · 4.0 TFL #49 DL
WR Nik McMillan 8 rec · 182 yds · 2 TD #72 WR
DL David Santiago 9 tkl · 2.5 TFL #232 DL
QB Isaiah Marshall 414 pass yds · 4 TD · 2 INT #64 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Long Island University Sharks -14.8 -10.5 -4.3 #343
Kansas JayhawksB12 +9.5 +7.6 +1.9 #89

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Long Island University offense vs Kansas defense-12.4 pts
Kansas offense vs Long Island University defense+11.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,152 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.