FinalORST 20 · HOU 33ML WSpread Wour logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineHOU to winloggedours 74%
Our number: HOU by 18.1 — HOU to win.
ORST team totalORST over 13.5loggedlive now: ORST over 14.5 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 23.0
Our number: ORST 16.7, from our margin and total split into two scores.
HOU team totalHOU over 34.5loggedlive now: HOU under 35.5 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 34.3
Our number: HOU 34.8, from our margin and total split into two scores.
Projected score23–34ORST – HOU
2026-09-05 · 12:00 PMTDECU Stadium · Houston, TXEarly season
The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book
Book
ORST spread
HOU spread
Over
Under
ORST win
HOU win
ORST TT over
ORST TT under
HOU TT over
HOU TT under
DraftKings
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FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars
The gold price is the best available on that side;
a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick.
TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s;
columns are empty where no book hangs one.
Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked.
Prices are the books’ own.
Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Networkcaptured in-gamespreadORST 57% bets · 49% money · money HOUtotalUnder 69% bets · 37% money · money OverMLHOU 95% bets · 76% money
Series
Houston lead
3–1
· 4 meetings since 1960
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run gameedge Houston Cougars154 ranks
Oregon State Beavers #240 rush offenseHouston Cougars #86 run defense
Pass gameedge Houston Cougars139 ranks
Oregon State Beavers #239 pass offenseHouston Cougars #100 pass defense
Run gameedge Oregon State Beavers155 ranks
Houston Cougars #244 rush offenseOregon State Beavers #89 run defense
Pass gameedge Houston Cougars96 ranks
Houston Cougars #81 pass offenseOregon State Beavers #177 pass defense
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Oregon State offense vs Houston defense-3.7 pts
Houston offense vs Oregon State defense+5.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,834 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.