BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Southeast Missouri State

· 1-2 · power -7.0 · #263
Our numberISU -37.6 no book has priced this game

Iowa State

B12 · 1-1 · power +21.9 · #27
Final SEMO 10 · ISU 38 our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineISU to win ours 98%
Projected score 6–44 SEMO – ISU
2026-09-05 · 1:00 PM Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book SEMO spreadISU spread OverUnder SEMO winISU win SEMO TT overSEMO TT under ISU TT overISU TT under
DraftKings — — — —
FanDuel — — — —
BetMGM — — — —
ESPN Bet — — — —
Caesars — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread SEMO 90% bets · 52% money total Under 74% bets · 62% money ML ISU 98% bets · 85% money
Series Iowa State lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2022
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Iowa State Cyclones 194 ranks
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #243 rush offense Iowa State Cyclones #49 run defense
Pass game even 6 ranks apart
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #125 pass offense Iowa State Cyclones #119 pass defense
Run game even 28 ranks apart
Iowa State Cyclones #76 rush offense Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #104 run defense
Pass game edge Iowa State Cyclones 75 ranks
Iowa State Cyclones #87 pass offense Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #162 pass defense
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Balanced · 45% run Avg pace Iowa State Cyclones Run-heavy · 58% run Avg pace
Matt Campbell · 81-57

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
DB DJ Delmore 22 tkl · 2 PD #20 DB
DL Timothy Maxson 12 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #72 DL
P Teagan Cobb 15 punts · 45.4 yd avg #12 P
WR John Anthony Jr. 10 rec · 219 yds · 2 TD #98 WR
Iowa State Cyclones
DL Isaac Terrell 5 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #116 DL
LB Sullivan Schlimgen 18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #87 LB
TE Vince Benetti 3 rec · 34 yds · 2 TD #42 TE
QB Jaylen Raynor 301 pass yds · 3 TD · 0 INT #82 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -7.0 -5.5 -1.5 #263
Iowa State CyclonesB12 +21.9 +7.5 +14.4 #27

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Southeast Missouri State offense vs Iowa State defense-19.9 pts
Iowa State offense vs Southeast Missouri State defense+9.0 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.