← Matchups

Arizona

B12 · 1-1 (0-1 B12) · power +22.9 · #22
Our numberARIZ -10.2 no book has priced this game

Washington State

PAC · 0-2 · power +12.9 · #68
Our side
MoneylineARIZ to win ours 33%
Projected score 29–19 ARIZ – WSU
2026-09-26 · 7:30 PM Martin Stadium · Pullman, WA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Arizona lead 28–19 · 47 meetings since 1963
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Arizona Wildcats 68 ranks
Arizona Wildcats #65 rush offense Washington State Cougars #133 run defense
Pass game edge Washington State Cougars 68 ranks
Arizona Wildcats #106 pass offense Washington State Cougars #38 pass defense
Run game even 43 ranks apart
Washington State Cougars #155 rush offense Arizona Wildcats #112 run defense
Pass game edge Arizona Wildcats 108 ranks
Washington State Cougars #186 pass offense Arizona Wildcats #78 pass defense
Arizona Wildcats Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Washington State Cougars Balanced · 53% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Brent Brennan · 47-60 Jimmy Rogers · 6-6 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Arizona Wildcats
QB Noah Fifita 492 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #42 QB
WR Giovanni Richardson 13 rec · 144 yds #162 WR
LB Chase Kennedy 9 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #182 LB
RB Kedrick Reescano 97 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #152 RB
Washington State Cougars
DB Jaylen Thomas 7 tkl · 2 INT #8 DB
DB Jamarey Smith 8 tkl · 1 PD #609 DB
DL Malachi Wrice 4 tkl · 2.0 TFL #704 DL
QB Caden Pinnick 207 pass yds · 2 INT · 90 rush yds #148 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Arizona WildcatsB12 +22.9 +7.1 +15.8 #22
Washington State CougarsPAC +12.9 -0.0 +13.0 #68

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Arizona offense vs Washington State defense-5.9 pts
Washington State offense vs Arizona defense-15.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,054 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.