Our side
MoneylineARIZ to win
ours 70%
Projected score
19–32
CIN – ARIZ
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Casino Del Sol Stadium · Tucson, AZ
B12 game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Arizona lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Cincinnati Bearcats
85 ranks
Cincinnati Bearcats #27 rush offense
Arizona Wildcats #112 run defense
Pass game
even
41 ranks apart
Cincinnati Bearcats #37 pass offense
Arizona Wildcats #78 pass defense
Run game
edge Arizona Wildcats
120 ranks
Arizona Wildcats #65 rush offense
Cincinnati Bearcats #185 run defense
Pass game
edge Arizona Wildcats
46 ranks
Arizona Wildcats #106 pass offense
Cincinnati Bearcats #152 pass defense
Cincinnati Bearcats
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 48 rush ypg
Arizona Wildcats
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Scott Satterfield · 80-57 · offense-minded
Brent Brennan · 47-60
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Cincinnati Bearcats
RB
Gi'Bran Payne
210 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec
#70 RB
DL
Josh Hough
7 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#206 DL
WR
JV Gibson
9 rec · 133 yds · 2 TD
#129 WR
LB
Jonathan Thompson
14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#144 LB
Arizona Wildcats
QB
Noah Fifita
492 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
#42 QB
WR
Giovanni Richardson
13 rec · 144 yds
#162 WR
LB
Chase Kennedy
9 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#182 LB
RB
Kedrick Reescano
97 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#152 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Cincinnati offense vs Arizona defense-6.9 pts
Arizona offense vs Cincinnati defense-0.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,552 mi
Altitude · context only511 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.