Our side
MoneylineTTU to win
ours 26%
Projected score
32–21
TTU – COLO
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Folsom Field · Boulder, CO
B12 game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Colorado lead
6–5
· 11 meetings since 1962
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Texas Tech Red Raiders
113 ranks
Texas Tech Red Raiders #47 rush offense
Colorado Buffaloes #160 run defense
Pass game
edge Texas Tech Red Raiders
187 ranks
Texas Tech Red Raiders #58 pass offense
Colorado Buffaloes #245 pass defense
Run game
edge Texas Tech Red Raiders
199 ranks
Colorado Buffaloes #200 rush offense
Texas Tech Red Raiders #1 run defense
Pass game
edge Texas Tech Red Raiders
152 ranks
Colorado Buffaloes #154 pass offense
Texas Tech Red Raiders #2 pass defense
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Colorado Buffaloes
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
Joey McGuire · 35-18
Deion Sanders · 16-21
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Texas Tech Red Raiders
RB
J'Koby Williams
187 rush yds · 2 TD · 10 rec
#20 RB
LB
Ben Roberts
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#97 LB
DL
A.J. Holmes Jr.
6 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#187 DL
K
Stone Harrington
4 FG · 8 XP · 20 pts
#28 K
Colorado Buffaloes
DL
Lamont Lester Jr.
7 tkl · 4.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#19 DL
DL
Toby Anene
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#58 DL
DB
Randon Fontenette
12 tkl · 1 INT
#138 DB
QB
Julian Lewis
490 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
#44 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Texas Tech offense vs Colorado defense+4.1 pts
Colorado offense vs Texas Tech defense-8.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 482 mi
Altitude · context only662 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.