← Matchups

Kansas

B12 · 1-1 · power +9.5 · #89
Our numberKSU -22.9 no book has priced this game

Kansas State

B12 · 2-0 · power +24.9 · #17
Our side
MoneylineKSU to win ours 86%
Projected score 15–38 KU – KSU
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS B12 game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book KU spreadKSU spread OverUnder KU winKSU win KU TT overKU TT under KSU TT overKSU TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Kansas lead 65–53–5 · 123 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Kansas Jayhawks 114 ranks
Kansas Jayhawks #38 rush offense Kansas State Wildcats #152 run defense
Pass game even 3 ranks apart
Kansas Jayhawks #78 pass offense Kansas State Wildcats #75 pass defense
Run game even 34 ranks apart
Kansas State Wildcats #88 rush offense Kansas Jayhawks #122 run defense
Pass game edge Kansas State Wildcats 109 ranks
Kansas State Wildcats #124 pass offense Kansas Jayhawks #233 pass defense
Kansas Jayhawks Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg Kansas State Wildcats Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
Lance Leipold · 64-68 · offense-minded Chris Klieman · 54-34

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Kansas Jayhawks
DL Leroy Harris III 8 tkl · 4.0 TFL #49 DL
WR Nik McMillan 8 rec · 182 yds · 2 TD #72 WR
DL David Santiago 9 tkl · 2.5 TFL #232 DL
QB Isaiah Marshall 414 pass yds · 4 TD · 2 INT #64 QB
Kansas State Wildcats
RB Joe Jackson 106 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 rec #22 RB
WR Josh Manning 13 rec · 130 yds · 2 TD #51 WR
DL Wendell Gregory 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #121 DL
RB Rodney Fields Jr. 206 rush yds · 2 TD #55 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Kansas JayhawksB12 +9.5 +7.6 +1.9 #89
Kansas State WildcatsB12 +24.9 +15.7 +9.2 #17

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Kansas offense vs Kansas State defense-1.6 pts
Kansas State offense vs Kansas defense+13.8 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.