← Matchups

Utah

B12 · 2-0 · power +30.1 · #6
Our numberUTAH -13.5 no book has priced this game

Colorado

B12 · 2-0 · power +14.6 · #56
Our side
MoneylineUTAH to win ours 20%
Projected score 32–19 UTAH – COLO
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD Folsom Field · Boulder, CO B12 game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Utah lead 36–33–3 · 72 meetings since 1903
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Utah Utes 157 ranks
Utah Utes #3 rush offense Colorado Buffaloes #160 run defense
Pass game edge Utah Utes 205 ranks
Utah Utes #40 pass offense Colorado Buffaloes #245 pass defense
Run game edge Utah Utes 62 ranks
Colorado Buffaloes #200 rush offense Utah Utes #138 run defense
Pass game edge Utah Utes 147 ranks
Colorado Buffaloes #154 pass offense Utah Utes #7 pass defense
Utah Utes Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 62 rush ypg Colorado Buffaloes Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
Morgan Scalley · 1-0 Deion Sanders · 16-21

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Utah Utes
RB Wayshawn Parker 124 rush yds · 3 TD · 8 rec #8 RB
TE Noah Bennee 5 rec · 148 yds · 2 TD #8 TE
QB Devon Dampier 437 pass yds · 5 TD · 1 INT #9 QB
DL Jireh Moe 8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #105 DL
Colorado Buffaloes
DL Lamont Lester Jr. 7 tkl · 4.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL #19 DL
DL Toby Anene 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #58 DL
DB Randon Fontenette 12 tkl · 1 INT #138 DB
QB Julian Lewis 490 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT #44 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Utah UtesB12 +30.1 +18.4 +11.7 #6
Colorado BuffaloesB12 +14.6 +4.8 +9.7 #56

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Utah offense vs Colorado defense+8.7 pts
Colorado offense vs Utah defense-6.8 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.