← Matchups

Baylor

B12 · 1-1 · power +17.3 · #47
Our numberBAY -7.8 no book has priced this game

Kansas

B12 · 1-1 · power +9.5 · #89
Our side
MoneylineBAY to win ours 36%
Projected score 31–23 BAY – KU
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS B12 game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Baylor lead 19–4 · 23 meetings since 1971
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Baylor Bears 54 ranks
Baylor Bears #68 rush offense Kansas Jayhawks #122 run defense
Pass game edge Baylor Bears 89 ranks
Baylor Bears #144 pass offense Kansas Jayhawks #233 pass defense
Run game edge Kansas Jayhawks 128 ranks
Kansas Jayhawks #38 rush offense Baylor Bears #166 run defense
Pass game edge Kansas Jayhawks 57 ranks
Kansas Jayhawks #78 pass offense Baylor Bears #135 pass defense
Baylor Bears Balanced · 42% run Avg pace Kansas Jayhawks Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Dave Aranda · 36-37 Lance Leipold · 64-68 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Baylor Bears
WR Gavin Freeman 22 rec · 258 yds · 1 TD #9 WR
DL Garrick Ponder 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #56 DL
DL Devonte Tezino 4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #73 DL
DB Devin Turner 9 tkl · 1 PD #235 DB
Kansas Jayhawks
DL Leroy Harris III 8 tkl · 4.0 TFL #49 DL
WR Nik McMillan 8 rec · 182 yds · 2 TD #72 WR
DL David Santiago 9 tkl · 2.5 TFL #232 DL
QB Isaiah Marshall 414 pass yds · 4 TD · 2 INT #64 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Baylor BearsB12 +17.3 +9.6 +7.7 #47
Kansas JayhawksB12 +9.5 +7.6 +1.9 #89

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Baylor offense vs Kansas defense+7.7 pts
Kansas offense vs Baylor defense-0.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 522 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.