Our side
MoneylineCOLO to win
ours 37%
Projected score
27–24
COLO – OKST
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD
Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK
B12 game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Colorado lead
27–20–1
· 48 meetings since 1920
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
21 ranks apart
Colorado Buffaloes #200 rush offense
Oklahoma State Cowboys #221 run defense
Pass game
edge Colorado Buffaloes
90 ranks
Colorado Buffaloes #154 pass offense
Oklahoma State Cowboys #244 pass defense
Run game
edge Colorado Buffaloes
97 ranks
Oklahoma State Cowboys #257 rush offense
Colorado Buffaloes #160 run defense
Pass game
even
1 ranks apart
Oklahoma State Cowboys #244 pass offense
Colorado Buffaloes #245 pass defense
Colorado Buffaloes
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Deion Sanders · 16-21
Mike Gundy · 86-46
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Colorado Buffaloes
DL
Lamont Lester Jr.
7 tkl · 4.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#19 DL
DL
Toby Anene
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#58 DL
DB
Randon Fontenette
12 tkl · 1 INT
#138 DB
QB
Julian Lewis
490 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
#44 QB
Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR
Wyatt Young
13 rec · 205 yds · 1 TD
#44 WR
RB
Caleb Hawkins
189 rush yds · 1 TD · 8 rec
#56 RB
LB
Ethan Wesloski
16 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL
#101 LB
QB
Drew Mestemaker
558 pass yds · 3 TD · 4 INT
#38 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Colorado offense vs Oklahoma State defense-1.0 pts
Oklahoma State offense vs Colorado defense-8.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 520 mi
Altitude · context only1,361 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.