Our side
MoneylineKSU to win
ours 29%
Projected score
31–22
KSU – ASU
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
B12 game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Arizona State lead
6–1
· 7 meetings since 1964
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
12 ranks apart
Kansas State Wildcats #88 rush offense
Arizona State Sun Devils #76 run defense
Pass game
even
42 ranks apart
Kansas State Wildcats #124 pass offense
Arizona State Sun Devils #82 pass defense
Run game
edge Arizona State Sun Devils
56 ranks
Arizona State Sun Devils #96 rush offense
Kansas State Wildcats #152 run defense
Pass game
edge Kansas State Wildcats
59 ranks
Arizona State Sun Devils #134 pass offense
Kansas State Wildcats #75 pass defense
Kansas State Wildcats
Balanced · 57% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
Arizona State Sun Devils
Balanced · 55% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Chris Klieman · 54-34
Kenny Dillingham · 22-17 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Kansas State Wildcats
RB
Joe Jackson
106 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 rec
#22 RB
WR
Josh Manning
13 rec · 130 yds · 2 TD
#51 WR
DL
Wendell Gregory
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#121 DL
RB
Rodney Fields Jr.
206 rush yds · 2 TD
#55 RB
Arizona State Sun Devils
WR
Reed Harris
15 rec · 326 yds · 4 TD
#4 WR
QB
Cutter Boley
641 pass yds · 8 TD · 2 INT
#22 QB
WR
Omarion Miller
17 rec · 131 yds · 1 TD
#86 WR
DB
Montana Warren
10 tkl
#343 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Kansas State offense vs Arizona State defense+12.1 pts
Arizona State offense vs Kansas State defense+1.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 941 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.