Our side
MoneylineTCU to win
ours 72%
Projected score
21–30
WVU – TCU
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD
Amon G. Carter Stadium · Fort Worth, TX
B12 game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
West Virginia lead
8–6
· 14 meetings since 1984
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge TCU Horned Frogs
145 ranks
West Virginia Mountaineers #253 rush offense
TCU Horned Frogs #108 run defense
Pass game
even
29 ranks apart
West Virginia Mountaineers #189 pass offense
TCU Horned Frogs #160 pass defense
Run game
edge West Virginia Mountaineers
98 ranks
TCU Horned Frogs #153 rush offense
West Virginia Mountaineers #55 run defense
Pass game
edge TCU Horned Frogs
153 ranks
TCU Horned Frogs #36 pass offense
West Virginia Mountaineers #189 pass defense
West Virginia Mountaineers
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
TCU Horned Frogs
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Rich Rodriguez · 39-38 · defense-minded
Sonny Dykes · 79-46
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
West Virginia Mountaineers
RB
Cam Cook
194 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec
#38 RB
QB
Michael Hawkins Jr.
287 pass yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
#21 QB
LB
Isaiah Patterson
14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#193 LB
WR
DJ Epps
5 rec · 148 yds · 1 TD
#211 WR
TCU Horned Frogs
TE
Kari Ashley
10 rec · 136 yds · 2 TD
#6 TE
DB
Teon Parks
1 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#65 DB
DL
Ansel Din-Mbuh
6 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#98 DL
RB
Jeremy Payne
221 rush yds · 6 rec
#81 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
West Virginia offense vs TCU defense-1.8 pts
TCU offense vs West Virginia defense+5.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,080 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.