← Matchups

Kansas

B12 · 1-1 · power +9.5 · #89
Our numberTCU -10.6 no book has priced this game

TCU

B12 · 1-1 · power +17.5 · #46
Our side
MoneylineTCU to win ours 73%
Projected score 20–31 KU – TCU
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD Amon G. Carter Stadium · Fort Worth, TX B12 game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series TCU lead 27–9–4 · 40 meetings since 1942
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Kansas Jayhawks 70 ranks
Kansas Jayhawks #38 rush offense TCU Horned Frogs #108 run defense
Pass game edge Kansas Jayhawks 82 ranks
Kansas Jayhawks #78 pass offense TCU Horned Frogs #160 pass defense
Run game even 31 ranks apart
TCU Horned Frogs #153 rush offense Kansas Jayhawks #122 run defense
Pass game edge TCU Horned Frogs 197 ranks
TCU Horned Frogs #36 pass offense Kansas Jayhawks #233 pass defense
Kansas Jayhawks Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg TCU Horned Frogs Balanced · 49% run Avg pace
Lance Leipold · 64-68 · offense-minded Sonny Dykes · 79-46

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Kansas Jayhawks
DL Leroy Harris III 8 tkl · 4.0 TFL #49 DL
WR Nik McMillan 8 rec · 182 yds · 2 TD #72 WR
DL David Santiago 9 tkl · 2.5 TFL #232 DL
QB Isaiah Marshall 414 pass yds · 4 TD · 2 INT #64 QB
TCU Horned Frogs
TE Kari Ashley 10 rec · 136 yds · 2 TD #6 TE
DB Teon Parks 1 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #65 DB
DL Ansel Din-Mbuh 6 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #98 DL
RB Jeremy Payne 221 rush yds · 6 rec #81 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Kansas JayhawksB12 +9.5 +7.6 +1.9 #89
TCU Horned FrogsB12 +17.5 +9.7 +7.9 #46

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Kansas offense vs TCU defense-0.3 pts
TCU offense vs Kansas defense+7.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 448 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.