Our side
MoneylineCOLO to win
ours 56%
Projected score
26–24
HOU – COLO
2026-11-13 · 10:15 PM
Folsom Field · Boulder, CO
B12 game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Colorado and Houston split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 1971
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Colorado Buffaloes
84 ranks
Houston Cougars #244 rush offense
Colorado Buffaloes #160 run defense
Pass game
edge Houston Cougars
164 ranks
Houston Cougars #81 pass offense
Colorado Buffaloes #245 pass defense
Run game
edge Houston Cougars
114 ranks
Colorado Buffaloes #200 rush offense
Houston Cougars #86 run defense
Pass game
edge Houston Cougars
54 ranks
Colorado Buffaloes #154 pass offense
Houston Cougars #100 pass defense
Houston Cougars
Run-heavy · 63% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 54 rush ypg
Colorado Buffaloes
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
Willie Fritz · 77-62 · defense-minded
Deion Sanders · 16-21
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Houston Cougars
WR
Amare Thomas
11 rec · 162 yds · 2 TD
#73 WR
TE
Patrick Overmyer
8 rec · 100 yds · 1 TD
#30 TE
DB
Jordan Allen
5 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
#162 DB
DB
Jalen Mayo
9 tkl · 2 PD
#271 DB
Colorado Buffaloes
DL
Lamont Lester Jr.
7 tkl · 4.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#19 DL
DL
Toby Anene
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#58 DL
DB
Randon Fontenette
12 tkl · 1 INT
#138 DB
QB
Julian Lewis
490 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
#44 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Houston offense vs Colorado defense+0.1 pts
Colorado offense vs Houston defense+0.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 905 mi
Altitude · context only1,628 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.