← Matchups

Texas Tech

B12 · 2-0 · power +27.0 · #11
Our numberTTU -20.0 no book has priced this game

Oklahoma State

B12 · 1-1 · power +7.3 · #99
Our side
MoneylineTTU to win ours 14%
Projected score 38–17 TTU – OKST
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK B12 game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book TTU spreadOKST spread OverUnder TTU winOKST win TTU TT overTTU TT under OKST TT overOKST TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Texas Tech lead 25–24–3 · 52 meetings since 1935
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Texas Tech Red Raiders 174 ranks
Texas Tech Red Raiders #47 rush offense Oklahoma State Cowboys #221 run defense
Pass game edge Texas Tech Red Raiders 186 ranks
Texas Tech Red Raiders #58 pass offense Oklahoma State Cowboys #244 pass defense
Run game edge Texas Tech Red Raiders 256 ranks
Oklahoma State Cowboys #257 rush offense Texas Tech Red Raiders #1 run defense
Pass game edge Texas Tech Red Raiders 242 ranks
Oklahoma State Cowboys #244 pass offense Texas Tech Red Raiders #2 pass defense
Texas Tech Red Raiders Balanced · 53% run Ball-control Oklahoma State Cowboys Balanced · 51% run Ball-control
Joey McGuire · 35-18 Mike Gundy · 86-46

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Texas Tech Red Raiders
RB J'Koby Williams 187 rush yds · 2 TD · 10 rec #20 RB
LB Ben Roberts 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #97 LB
DL A.J. Holmes Jr. 6 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #187 DL
K Stone Harrington 4 FG · 8 XP · 20 pts #28 K
Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR Wyatt Young 13 rec · 205 yds · 1 TD #44 WR
RB Caleb Hawkins 189 rush yds · 1 TD · 8 rec #56 RB
LB Ethan Wesloski 16 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL #101 LB
QB Drew Mestemaker 558 pass yds · 3 TD · 4 INT #38 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Texas Tech Red RaidersB12 +27.0 +13.8 +13.1 #11
Oklahoma State CowboysB12 +7.3 +1.5 +5.9 #99

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Texas Tech offense vs Oklahoma State defense+8.0 pts
Oklahoma State offense vs Texas Tech defense-11.6 pts
Altitude · context only699 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.