← Matchups

Utah

B12 · 2-0 · power +30.1 · #6
Our numberUTAH -2.3 no book has priced this game

Arizona

B12 · 1-1 (0-1 B12) · power +22.9 · #22
Our side
MoneylineUTAH to win ours 37%
Projected score 27–25 UTAH – ARIZ
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD Casino Del Sol Stadium · Tucson, AZ B12 game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Utah lead 26–21–2 · 49 meetings since 1924
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Utah Utes 109 ranks
Utah Utes #3 rush offense Arizona Wildcats #112 run defense
Pass game even 38 ranks apart
Utah Utes #40 pass offense Arizona Wildcats #78 pass defense
Run game edge Arizona Wildcats 73 ranks
Arizona Wildcats #65 rush offense Utah Utes #138 run defense
Pass game edge Utah Utes 99 ranks
Arizona Wildcats #106 pass offense Utah Utes #7 pass defense
Utah Utes Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 62 rush ypg Arizona Wildcats Balanced · 51% run Avg pace
Morgan Scalley · 1-0 Brent Brennan · 47-60

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Utah Utes
RB Wayshawn Parker 124 rush yds · 3 TD · 8 rec #8 RB
TE Noah Bennee 5 rec · 148 yds · 2 TD #8 TE
QB Devon Dampier 437 pass yds · 5 TD · 1 INT #9 QB
DL Jireh Moe 8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #105 DL
Arizona Wildcats
QB Noah Fifita 492 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #42 QB
WR Giovanni Richardson 13 rec · 144 yds #162 WR
LB Chase Kennedy 9 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #182 LB
RB Kedrick Reescano 97 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #152 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Utah UtesB12 +30.1 +18.4 +11.7 #6
Arizona WildcatsB12 +22.9 +7.1 +15.8 #22

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Utah offense vs Arizona defense+2.6 pts
Arizona offense vs Utah defense-4.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 592 mi
Altitude · context only670 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.