← Matchups

Missouri

SEC · 2-0 · power +20.3 · #36
Our numberUGA -8.9 no book has priced this game

Georgia

SEC · 2-0 · power +23.4 · #21
Our side
MoneylineUGA to win ours 62%
Projected score 22–31 MIZ – UGA
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD Sanford Stadium · Athens, GA SEC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Georgia lead 12–1 · 13 meetings since 1959
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 9 ranks apart
Missouri Tigers #29 rush offense Georgia Bulldogs #20 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Bulldogs 164 ranks
Missouri Tigers #217 pass offense Georgia Bulldogs #53 pass defense
Run game even 5 ranks apart
Georgia Bulldogs #62 rush offense Missouri Tigers #57 run defense
Pass game edge Missouri Tigers 66 ranks
Georgia Bulldogs #77 pass offense Missouri Tigers #11 pass defense
Missouri Tigers Run-heavy · 60% run Avg pace Georgia Bulldogs Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Eli Drinkwitz · 58-30 Kirby Smart · 117-21

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Missouri Tigers
WR Donovan Olugbode 14 rec · 237 yds · 3 TD #28 WR
QB Austin Simmons 544 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT #15 QB
WR Cayden Lee 10 rec · 200 yds · 2 TD #78 WR
RB Jamal Roberts 172 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #136 RB
Georgia Bulldogs
RB Nate Frazier 127 rush yds · 4 TD · 1 rec #54 RB
QB Gunner Stockton 436 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #39 QB
P Drew Miller 5 punts · 49.8 yd avg #22 P
WR Talyn Taylor 5 rec · 59 yds · 2 TD #298 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Missouri TigersSEC +20.3 +8.6 +11.7 #36
Georgia BulldogsSEC +23.4 +16.5 +6.9 #21

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Missouri offense vs Georgia defense+1.7 pts
Georgia offense vs Missouri defense+4.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 605 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.