← Matchups

Tennessee

SEC · 2-0 · power +26.9 · #12
Our numberTA&M -8.3 no book has priced this game

Texas A&M

SEC · 2-0 · power +31.6 · #5
Our side
MoneylineTA&M to win ours 66%
Projected score 25–34 TENN – TA&M
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD Kyle Field · College Station, TX SEC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book TENN spreadTA&M spread OverUnder TENN winTA&M win TENN TT overTENN TT under TA&M TT overTA&M TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Tennessee lead 3–2 · 5 meetings since 1957
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tennessee Volunteers 153 ranks
Tennessee Volunteers #24 rush offense Texas A&M Aggies #177 run defense
Pass game even 17 ranks apart
Tennessee Volunteers #31 pass offense Texas A&M Aggies #14 pass defense
Run game even 24 ranks apart
Texas A&M Aggies #67 rush offense Tennessee Volunteers #91 run defense
Pass game even 40 ranks apart
Texas A&M Aggies #55 pass offense Tennessee Volunteers #95 pass defense
Tennessee Volunteers Balanced · 52% run Avg pace Texas A&M Aggies Balanced · 55% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg
Josh Heupel · 73-28 · offense-minded Mike Elko · 35-16

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tennessee Volunteers
DL Xavier Gilliam 8 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL #36 DL
DB Dejuan Lane 4 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #35 DB
RB DeSean Bishop 244 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #16 RB
QB Faizon Brandon 374 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT #16 QB
Texas A&M Aggies
DL Marco Jones 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #10 DL
DB Julio Humphrey 2 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #84 DB
WR Isaiah Horton 7 rec · 109 yds · 3 TD #82 WR
DL T.J. Searcy 8 tkl · 1.5 TFL #166 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tennessee VolunteersSEC +26.9 +22.0 +5.0 #12
Texas A&M AggiesSEC +31.6 +16.2 +15.4 #5

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tennessee offense vs Texas A&M defense+6.5 pts
Texas A&M offense vs Tennessee defense+11.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 806 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.