Our side
MoneylineALA to win
ours 27%
Projected score
33–21
ALA – VAN
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD
FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Alabama lead
64–19–4
· 87 meetings since 1903
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Vanderbilt Commodores
163 ranks
Alabama Crimson Tide #213 rush offense
Vanderbilt Commodores #50 run defense
Pass game
edge Alabama Crimson Tide
145 ranks
Alabama Crimson Tide #49 pass offense
Vanderbilt Commodores #194 pass defense
Run game
edge Vanderbilt Commodores
93 ranks
Vanderbilt Commodores #4 rush offense
Alabama Crimson Tide #97 run defense
Pass game
even
23 ranks apart
Vanderbilt Commodores #6 pass offense
Alabama Crimson Tide #29 pass defense
Alabama Crimson Tide
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Vanderbilt Commodores
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 69 rush ypg
Kalen DeBoer · 57-17
Clark Lea · 26-36 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Alabama Crimson Tide
K
Conor Talty
5 FG · 10 XP · 25 pts
#2 K
LB
Yhonzae Pierre
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#30 LB
LB
Luke Metz
10 tkl
#35 LB
RB
Daniel Hill
151 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
#29 RB
Vanderbilt Commodores
LB
Nick Rinaldi
13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#7 LB
DB
CJ Heard
14 tkl · 1 PD
#21 DB
DL
Miles Capers
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#23 DL
DL
Issa Ouattara
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#139 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Alabama offense vs Vanderbilt defense+8.3 pts
Vanderbilt offense vs Alabama defense-3.7 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.