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VMI

· 0-3 · power -22.1 · #384
Our numberVT -41.6 no book has priced this game

Virginia Tech

ACC · 2-0 · power +11.6 · #77
Final VMI 3 · VT 73 ML W Spread L Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineVT to win logged ours 99%

Our number: VT by 39.1 — VT to win.

Projected score 8–50 VMI – VT
2026-09-05 · 7:30 PM Lane Stadium · Blacksburg, VA Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book VMI spreadVT spread OverUnder VMI winVT win VMI TT overVMI TT under VT TT overVT TT under
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread VMI 99% bets · 95% money total Under 80% bets · 76% money
Series Virginia Tech lead 46–23–5 · 74 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Virginia Tech Hokies 78 ranks
VMI Keydets #256 rush offense Virginia Tech Hokies #178 run defense
Pass game edge VMI Keydets 58 ranks
VMI Keydets #188 pass offense Virginia Tech Hokies #246 pass defense
Run game edge Virginia Tech Hokies 105 ranks
Virginia Tech Hokies #59 rush offense VMI Keydets #164 run defense
Pass game edge Virginia Tech Hokies 52 ranks
Virginia Tech Hokies #205 pass offense VMI Keydets #257 pass defense
VMI Keydets Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Virginia Tech Hokies Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 54 rush ypg
Philip Montgomery · 46-59 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
VMI Keydets
DB Nic Land 22 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #74 DB
DB Robert Powell 13 tkl · 2 PD #345 DB
DB EJ Wilborne 12 tkl · 1 INT #522 DB
DB Anthony Allen 10 tkl #876 DB
Virginia Tech Hokies
TE Luke Reynolds 13 rec · 158 yds · 3 TD #2 TE
K John Love 4 FG · 15 XP · 27 pts #5 K
DL Mylachi Williams 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 6.0 TFL #39 DL
DL Cortez Harris 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #71 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
VMI Keydets -22.1 -14.8 -7.3 #384
Virginia Tech HokiesACC +11.6 +11.4 +0.2 #77

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
VMI offense vs Virginia Tech defense-15.0 pts
Virginia Tech offense vs VMI defense+18.7 pts
Altitude · context only331 m higher than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.