Our side · spreadRUTG +3.5loggedour number at the pick RUTG -1.3 · now BC -4.3 · 1.3 pts from the market now
Boston College
ACC · 1-1 · power +4.0 · #131
FinalRUTG 21 · BC 28ML WSpread LTotal Wour logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
SpreadRUTG +3.5loggedlive now: BC -3 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours BC -4.3
The line has not moved a point since it opened (BC -3.5 → -3.5), so our number decides: RUTG by 1.3 against BC -3.5 means RUTG covers.
TotalUnder 54.5loggedlive now: Over 53.5 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 57.2
The total has not moved a point since it opened (54.5 → 54.5); ours 53.1 against 54.5 says under.
MoneylineBC to winloggedours 59% · book 57%
Our number: RUTG by 1.3 — BC to win.
Distance from the market1.3 pts / +3.7 totala caution, not a signal
Projected score26–31RUTG – BC
2026-09-11 · 7:30 PMAlumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MAEarly season
The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book
Book
RUTG spread
BC spread
Over
Under
RUTG win
BC win
RUTG TT over
RUTG TT under
BC TT over
BC TT under
DraftKings
—
—
—
—
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars
The gold price is the best available on that side;
a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick.
TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s;
columns are empty where no book hangs one.
Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked.
Prices are the books’ own.
Ours vs the market
SpreadBoston College -4.3
the marketBoston College -3.0
Total57.2
the market53.5
Boston College win59%
vs 57%
Both percentages are Boston College’s chance to win — ours, then
the book’s with the vig removed, medianed across the books we track.
What the gap has been worth 10,740 games · 2016–2025
0–3 pts52.0%
3–750.2%
7–1449.3%
14+46.8%
How often the side we favoured covered, by how far our number sat from the
market’s. Break-even at −110 is 52.4% — no bucket reaches it, and
the rate falls as we disagree more. The further we sit from the market, the worse
we have done.
Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Networkcaptured 2 days agospreadBC 56% bets · 35% money · money RUTGtotalUnder 89% bets · 86% moneyMLBC 83% bets · 15% money · money RUTG
Series
Boston College lead
20–7–1
· 28 meetings since 1919
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run gameeven15 ranks apart
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #141 rush offenseBoston College Eagles #156 run defense
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Rutgers offense vs Boston College defense-0.1 pts
Boston College offense vs Rutgers defense+2.3 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.