Our side · spreadGASO +20.5loggedour number at the pick CLEM -9.9 · now CLEM -11.2 · 8.3 pts from the market now
Clemson
ACC · 1-1 · power +15.6 · #53
FinalGASO 7 · CLEM 22ML WSpread WTotal Wour logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
SpreadGASO +20.5loggedlive now: GASO +19.5 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours CLEM -11.2
The line has not moved a point since it opened (CLEM -21.25 → -20.5), so our number decides: CLEM by 9.9 against CLEM -20.5 means GASO covers.
TotalUnder 55.5loggedlive now: Under 54.5 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 51.4
The market's move decides. The total opened 56.5 and is now 55.5, toward the under; that side has covered 55.1% at the opener since 2021. Ours at the pick: 53.6 — the same side.
MoneylineCLEM to winloggedours 73% · book 89%
Our number: CLEM by 9.9 — CLEM to win.
GASO team totalGASO over 17.5loggedlive now: GASO over 16.5 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 20.1
Our number: GASO 21.9, from our margin and total split into two scores.
CLEM team totalCLEM under 38.5loggedlive now: CLEM under 36.5 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 31.3
Our number: CLEM 31.8, from our margin and total split into two scores.
Distance from the market8.3 pts / -3.1 totala caution, not a signal
The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book
Book
GASO spread
CLEM spread
Over
Under
GASO win
CLEM win
GASO TT over
GASO TT under
CLEM TT over
CLEM TT under
DraftKings
—
—
—
—
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars
The gold price is the best available on that side;
a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick.
TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s;
columns are empty where no book hangs one.
Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked.
Prices are the books’ own.
Ours vs the market
SpreadClemson -11.2
the marketClemson -19.5
Total51.4
the market54.5
Clemson win73%
vs 89%
Both percentages are Clemson’s chance to win — ours, then
the book’s with the vig removed, medianed across the books we track.
What the gap has been worth 10,740 games · 2016–2025
0–3 pts52.0%
3–750.2%
7–1449.3%
14+46.8%
How often the side we favoured covered, by how far our number sat from the
market’s. Break-even at −110 is 52.4% — no bucket reaches it, and
the rate falls as we disagree more. The further we sit from the market, the worse
we have done.
Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Networkcaptured in-gamespreadCLEM 69% bets · 63% moneytotalUnder 93% bets · 90% moneyMLCLEM 98% bets · 71% money
Series
Clemson lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2018
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run gameeven34 ranks apart
Georgia Southern Eagles #101 rush offenseClemson Tigers #67 run defense
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Georgia Southern offense vs Clemson defense-9.3 pts
Clemson offense vs Georgia Southern defense+0.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.