Our side
MoneylineGT to win
ours 90%
Projected score
15–38
MER – GT
2026-09-19 · 12:00 PM
Bobby Dodd Stadium · Atlanta, GA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Georgia Tech lead
12–0
· 12 meetings since 1908
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
7 ranks apart
Mercer Bears #122 rush offense
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #129 run defense
Pass game
edge Mercer Bears
108 ranks
Mercer Bears #13 pass offense
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #121 pass defense
Run game
even
39 ranks apart
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #57 rush offense
Mercer Bears #18 run defense
Pass game
edge Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
154 ranks
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #33 pass offense
Mercer Bears #187 pass defense
Mercer Bears
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Balanced · 56% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg
Brent Key · 27-20 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Mercer Bears
DB
Cameron Goggins
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#70 DB
WR
Brayden Smith
17 rec · 284 yds · 1 TD
#66 WR
LB
Jyarius Carter
23 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL
#73 LB
DB
Justin Ferguson
10 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#151 DB
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
DL
Tawfiq Thomas
14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#13 DL
LB
Kyle Efford
21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#24 LB
DL
Taje McCoy
15 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#74 DL
RB
Justice Haynes
145 rush yds · 1 TD · 7 rec
#46 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Mercer offense vs Georgia Tech defense-9.0 pts
Georgia Tech offense vs Mercer defense+2.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.