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Bucknell

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -15.8 · #352
Our numberPITT -43.8 no book has priced this game

Pittsburgh

ACC · 2-0 · power +20.6 · #34
Our side
MoneylinePITT to win ours 99%
Projected score 4–48 BUCK – PITT
2026-09-26 · 12:00 PM Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Pittsburgh lead 7–2 · 9 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Pittsburgh Panthers 156 ranks
Bucknell Bison #168 rush offense Pittsburgh Panthers #12 run defense
Pass game even 15 ranks apart
Bucknell Bison #86 pass offense Pittsburgh Panthers #101 pass defense
Run game even 2 ranks apart
Pittsburgh Panthers #148 rush offense Bucknell Bison #150 run defense
Pass game edge Pittsburgh Panthers 147 ranks
Pittsburgh Panthers #70 pass offense Bucknell Bison #217 pass defense
Bucknell Bison Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Pittsburgh Panthers Balanced · 47% run Ball-control
Pat Narduzzi · 80-61

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Bucknell Bison
WR Sam Milligan 24 rec · 241 yds · 3 TD #17 WR
DL Jack Inserra 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #194 DL
RB Michael Cadden 131 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec #86 RB
LB Nick Hoying 13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #298 LB
Pittsburgh Panthers
QB Mason Heintschel 665 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT #23 QB
DL Isaiah Neal 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #160 DL
WR Cataurus Hicks 8 rec · 178 yds · 1 TD #117 WR
RB Damon Ferguson Jr. 81 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 rec #94 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Bucknell Bison -15.8 -11.4 -4.3 #352
Pittsburgh PanthersACC +20.6 +10.2 +10.4 #34

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Bucknell offense vs Pittsburgh defense-21.8 pts
Pittsburgh offense vs Bucknell defense+14.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.