← Matchups

Virginia Tech

ACC · 2-0 · power +11.6 · #77
Our numberVT -12.7 no book has priced this game

Boston College

ACC · 1-1 · power +4.0 · #131
Our side
MoneylineVT to win ours 38%
Projected score 32–20 VT – BC
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MA ACC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Virginia Tech lead 22–11 · 33 meetings since 1993
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Virginia Tech Hokies 97 ranks
Virginia Tech Hokies #59 rush offense Boston College Eagles #156 run defense
Pass game even 9 ranks apart
Virginia Tech Hokies #205 pass offense Boston College Eagles #196 pass defense
Run game even 3 ranks apart
Boston College Eagles #175 rush offense Virginia Tech Hokies #178 run defense
Pass game edge Boston College Eagles 106 ranks
Boston College Eagles #140 pass offense Virginia Tech Hokies #246 pass defense
Virginia Tech Hokies Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 54 rush ypg Boston College Eagles Balanced · 45% run Avg pace
Philip Montgomery · 46-59 · offense-minded Bill O'Brien · 9-16

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Virginia Tech Hokies
TE Luke Reynolds 13 rec · 158 yds · 3 TD #2 TE
K John Love 4 FG · 15 XP · 27 pts #5 K
DL Mylachi Williams 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 6.0 TFL #39 DL
DL Cortez Harris 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #71 DL
Boston College Eagles
LB Anthony Palano 22 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #3 LB
DB Marcus Upton 13 tkl · 2 PD #134 DB
DL E'Lla Boykin 8 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #211 DL
RB Evan Dickens 103 rush yds · 2 TD · 6 rec #85 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Virginia Tech HokiesACC +11.6 +11.4 +0.2 #77
Boston College EaglesACC +4.0 +0.7 +3.3 #131

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Virginia Tech offense vs Boston College defense+8.1 pts
Boston College offense vs Virginia Tech defense+0.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 605 mi
Altitude · context only586 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.