← Matchups

Miami

ACC · 2-0 (1-0 ACC) · power +29.0 · #8
Our numberMIA -18.4 no book has priced this game

Clemson

ACC · 1-1 · power +15.6 · #53
Our side
MoneylineMIA to win ours 24%
Projected score 34–15 MIA – CLEM
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · Clemson, SC ACC game Early season

The books 2 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book MIA spreadCLEM spread OverUnder MIA winCLEM win MIA TT overMIA TT under CLEM TT overCLEM TT under
DraftKings
BetMGM

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Clemson and Miami split 14 (7–7) · 14 meetings since 1945
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Clemson Tigers 47 ranks
Miami Hurricanes #114 rush offense Clemson Tigers #67 run defense
Pass game edge Miami Hurricanes 45 ranks
Miami Hurricanes #39 pass offense Clemson Tigers #84 pass defense
Run game edge Miami Hurricanes 103 ranks
Clemson Tigers #131 rush offense Miami Hurricanes #28 run defense
Pass game edge Miami Hurricanes 71 ranks
Clemson Tigers #101 pass offense Miami Hurricanes #30 pass defense
Miami Hurricanes Balanced · 55% run Ball-control Clemson Tigers Balanced · 45% run Avg pace
Mario Cristobal · 70-31 Dabo Swinney · 126-27

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Miami Hurricanes
QB Darian Mensah 653 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #3 QB
WR Malachi Toney 16 rec · 330 yds · 4 TD #8 WR
DL Marquise Lightfoot 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #264 DL
DL Armondo Blount 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #308 DL
Clemson Tigers
DL Will Heldt 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #42 DL
DB Elliot Washington II 10 tkl · 3 PD #153 DB
K Nolan Hauser 6 FG · 2 XP · 20 pts #23 K
DB Jerome Carter III 15 tkl · 1 PD #184 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Miami HurricanesACC +29.0 +16.2 +12.8 #8
Clemson TigersACC +15.6 +4.8 +10.7 #53

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Miami offense vs Clemson defense+5.4 pts
Clemson offense vs Miami defense-8.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 622 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.