← Matchups

Syracuse

ACC · 1-1 (0-1 ACC) · power +5.2 · #122
Our numberSYR -2.2 no book has priced this game

UConn

IND · 1-1 · power +2.4 · #147
Our side
MoneylineSYR to win ours 48%
Projected score 27–25 SYR – CONN
2026-10-03 · 12:00 PM Pratt & Whitney Stadium · East Hartford, CT Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Syracuse lead 8–6 · 14 meetings since 2004
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 8 ranks apart
Syracuse Orange #232 rush offense UConn Huskies #224 run defense
Pass game edge UConn Huskies 136 ranks
Syracuse Orange #260 pass offense UConn Huskies #124 pass defense
Run game edge UConn Huskies 214 ranks
UConn Huskies #40 rush offense Syracuse Orange #254 run defense
Pass game edge UConn Huskies 210 ranks
UConn Huskies #42 pass offense Syracuse Orange #252 pass defense
Syracuse Orange Balanced · 51% run Ball-control UConn Huskies Balanced · 49% run Ball-control
Fran Brown · 13-12 Jim Mora · 44-42 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Syracuse Orange
WR Umari Hatcher 14 rec · 224 yds · 2 TD #38 WR
TE Daunte Bacheyie 6 rec · 85 yds · 2 TD #21 TE
LB Chris D'Appolonia 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #111 LB
RB Shavane Anderson Jr. 120 rush yds · 3 TD #148 RB
UConn Huskies
DL Anas Luqman 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #179 DL
DB Zion Paret 15 tkl · 1 PD #209 DB
LB K'Von Sherman 14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #153 LB
DB Saxton Suchanic 4 tkl · 3 PD #287 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Syracuse OrangeACC +5.2 +1.5 +3.7 #122
UConn HuskiesIND +2.4 +3.2 -0.8 #147

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Syracuse offense vs UConn defense+2.3 pts
UConn offense vs Syracuse defense-0.5 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 9 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.