Our side
MoneylineDUKE to win
ours 32%
Projected score
29–22
DUKE – GT
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD
Bobby Dodd Stadium · Atlanta, GA
ACC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Georgia Tech lead
56–35–1
· 92 meetings since 1933
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
9 ranks apart
Duke Blue Devils #138 rush offense
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #129 run defense
Pass game
edge Duke Blue Devils
67 ranks
Duke Blue Devils #54 pass offense
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #121 pass defense
Run game
edge Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
98 ranks
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #57 rush offense
Duke Blue Devils #155 run defense
Pass game
edge Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
192 ranks
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #33 pass offense
Duke Blue Devils #225 pass defense
Duke Blue Devils
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Balanced · 56% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg
Manny Diaz · 39-24 · offense-minded
Brent Key · 27-20 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Duke Blue Devils
RB
Nate Sheppard
374 rush yds · 3 TD · 8 rec
#1 RB
DL
Bryce Davis
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#57 DL
WR
Jonah Burton
7 rec · 114 yds · 1 TD
#190 WR
TE
Jeremiah Hasley
5 rec · 89 yds
#67 TE
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
DL
Tawfiq Thomas
14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#13 DL
LB
Kyle Efford
21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#24 LB
DL
Taje McCoy
15 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#74 DL
RB
Justice Haynes
145 rush yds · 1 TD · 7 rec
#46 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Duke offense vs Georgia Tech defense+2.7 pts
Georgia Tech offense vs Duke defense-6.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.