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Syracuse

ACC · 1-1 (0-1 ACC) · power +5.2 · #122
Our numberUVA -18.5 no book has priced this game

Virginia

ACC · 2-0 (1-0 ACC) · power +22.3 · #23
Our side
MoneylineUVA to win ours 88%
Projected score 15–34 SYR – UVA
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA ACC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Syracuse and Virginia split 6 (3–3) · 6 meetings since 1975
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Virginia Cavaliers 194 ranks
Syracuse Orange #232 rush offense Virginia Cavaliers #38 run defense
Pass game edge Virginia Cavaliers 225 ranks
Syracuse Orange #260 pass offense Virginia Cavaliers #35 pass defense
Run game edge Virginia Cavaliers 208 ranks
Virginia Cavaliers #46 rush offense Syracuse Orange #254 run defense
Pass game edge Virginia Cavaliers 124 ranks
Virginia Cavaliers #128 pass offense Syracuse Orange #252 pass defense
Syracuse Orange Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Virginia Cavaliers Balanced · 53% run Avg pace
Fran Brown · 13-12 Tony Elliott · 22-26 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Syracuse Orange
WR Umari Hatcher 14 rec · 224 yds · 2 TD #38 WR
TE Daunte Bacheyie 6 rec · 85 yds · 2 TD #21 TE
LB Chris D'Appolonia 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #111 LB
RB Shavane Anderson Jr. 120 rush yds · 3 TD #148 RB
Virginia Cavaliers
DL Fisher Camac 6 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL #140 DL
DB Jacobie Henderson 12 tkl · 3 PD #147 DB
DB Brandyn Hillman 6 tkl · 3 INT #152 DB
K Will Bettridge 3 FG · 11 XP · 20 pts #36 K

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Syracuse OrangeACC +5.2 +1.5 +3.7 #122
Virginia CavaliersACC +22.3 +8.6 +13.7 #23

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Syracuse offense vs Virginia defense-12.3 pts
Virginia offense vs Syracuse defense+4.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.